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While “no single country can stop the energy transition”, the question energy and policy experts are asking at COP30 is whether the inevitable transition will be fast enough, or fair enough as countries negotiate implementing their COP28 commitment to transition away from fossil fuels.
Belém, Brazil — As Trump doubles down on fossil fuel fanaticism, state and local leaders in the U.S. have a responsibility to lead a just transition and not just rebrand the same polluting system. At COP30, New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham and California Governor Gavin Newsom took the stage at the “America Is All In” Pavilion to highlight state-level climate leadership. But their records tell another story: both have expanded fossil fuel extraction and embraced dangerous false solutions like carbon capture and hydrogen. As states with significant fossil fuel production, climate leadership from California and New Mexico is essential. Frontline activists confronted them directly in Belém, calling out hypocrisy and demanding real climate action.
Today, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the 2025 edition of its flagship report, the World Energy Outlook (WEO), finding that oil and coal demand are still on track to peak by 2030 in its business-as-usual scenario (STEPS), driven by the unstoppable growth of renewable energy and electrification – but that this falls far short of what is needed for the 1.5ºC survival limit. Crucially, the IE
COP30 opened without the usual agenda fight and informal consultations are now underway. The COP Presidency must ensure these talks deliver concrete outcomes for a fast, fair, and funded just transition, focused on renewables, not rebranded polluting “sustainable fuels.”
The Baku-to-Belém roadmap is not the promised plan to scale up climate finance and rich countries must come to COP30 ready to deliver one.
As leaders gather for COP30 in Belém, Brazil, they are under pressure to prove they’re serious about a fast, fair, and funded transition away from fossil fuels.
Thirty years ago, on November 10, 1995, writer and environmental activist Ken Saro-Wiwa and eight other Ogoni leaders known as the Ogoni 9, were executed by Nigeria’s military regime for resisting Shell’s oil exploitation and environmental destruction in the Niger Delta.
Just four Global North countries, the United States, Canada, Australia, and Norway, are overwhelmingly responsible for blocking global progress on phasing out oil and gas production, according to new analysis from Oil Change International.
“Despite COP28 promises to phase out fossil fuels, this report highlights the discrepancy between commitments and action."
A new national poll by Analyse and Tall commissioned by Oil Change International shows a clear shift in Norwegian public opinion: most voters want the government to rein in the country’s oil and gas industry and step up its climate efforts.
